Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.373435 1.572633 1.791308 2.049296 2.345523 2.675227 3.070340
2025-07-13 1.127993 1.397274 1.717251 2.126007 2.635124 3.249469 4.048811
2025-07-20 0.965650 1.279840 1.679528 2.226468 2.957525 3.903981 5.227323
2025-07-27 0.829648 1.166978 1.622676 2.285378 3.228417 4.528184 6.466214
2025-08-03 0.717852 1.064711 1.559094 2.318326 3.461234 5.127819 7.761478
2025-08-10 0.604179 0.939611 1.441209 2.250146 3.531096 5.496403 8.769838
2025-08-17 0.504286 0.818543 1.309305 2.136651 3.508372 5.712632 9.564650
2025-08-24 0.444145 0.750217 1.247904 2.122409 3.636063 6.176293 10.820500
2025-08-31 0.389523 0.682600 1.177293 2.080543 3.707649 6.550744 11.972209
2025-09-07 0.365973 0.664363 1.186413 2.175480 4.027113 7.391147 14.072919
2025-09-14 0.338644 0.635359 1.172183 2.225071 4.268737 8.120299 16.070160
2025-09-21 0.306749 0.593519 1.128879 2.213505 4.391403 8.639816 17.732037
2025-09-28 0.266633 0.531805 1.042398 2.110553 4.328622 8.805760 18.738431
2025-10-05 0.252364 0.519042 1.048872 2.193903 4.654105 9.795588 21.628202
2025-10-12 0.241570 0.511864 1.065451 2.300269 5.043003 10.972593 25.117093
2025-10-19 0.227495 0.495906 1.061794 2.362740 5.345607 12.007096 28.453608
2025-10-26 0.212447 0.475833 1.046735 2.397749 5.591313 12.949389 31.727731
2025-11-02 0.190843 0.438384 0.988991 2.327690 5.583688 13.308097 33.643971
2025-11-09 0.168447 0.396256 0.915469 2.210469 5.446220 13.337838 34.735425
2025-11-16 0.155472 0.374576 0.886320 2.195886 5.558082 13.990011 37.543729
2025-11-23 0.142043 0.350133 0.847674 2.152626 5.591439 14.449819 39.914565
2025-11-30 0.138109 0.348559 0.864065 2.250996 6.005793 15.950676 45.402683
2025-12-07 0.131778 0.340148 0.862479 2.302387 6.302573 17.183260 50.340801